During the lockdowns of the pandemic, many researchers developed and tested interesting research questions. They collected data to test COVID-related hypotheses, and now many of those studies have completed the peer-review process and are coming out in publication.
One such study was interested in whether the prolonged social isolation of the pandemic might have resulted in shifts in people's personality traits, on average. The study was covered by multiple media outlets, including the online magazine Fortune. The original empirical research is available open-acesss, in PLOS ONE.
Researchers have long been interested in the question of how, and how much, people's personalities change. They've asked the extent to which people become more conscientious when they transition into a full-time job, or whether people become more agreeable as they get older. The study summarized by this journalist is in the same spirit.
The Fortune journalist summarized the study this way:
Past studies have found personalities are generally immune to environmental factors like hurricanes and earthquakes, but a group of researchers found that the global COVID-19 pandemic may be an exception.
The researchers used data from the Understanding America Study of the University of Southern California to examine results from over 7,000 U.S. adults ages 18 to 109 before and during the pandemic. Personality was measured using a scale to assess five traits: neuroticism (is moody), openness (has an active imagination), conscientiousness (is a reliable worker), agreeableness (is generally trusting), and extraversion (is talkative).
The study echoed previous findings that neuroticism actually decreased from the period before the pandemic started to the early spring months of 2020, which may in part be because the beginning of the pandemic caused major outpourings of support with people rallying together and could have improved individual emotional stability, Sutin says. It may also be because people were able to point to a stressor as the reason for their overwhelm or anxiety versus blaming themselves, she speculates.
However, as the pandemic wore on, personality traits changed more drastically. Measures of extroversion, openness, agreeableness, and conscientiousness all declined compared to participants’ pre-pandemic personalities. Experts say shifts like this usually take a decade.
Questions
a) This is a type of quasi-experiment. What is the quasi-experimental variable? What are the dependent variables?
b) Which quasi-experimental design (from Chapter 13) best fits this study? Here are your options: Non-equivalent control group posttest-only design, Non-equivalent control group pretest-posttest design, Interrupted time series design, or Non-equivalent control group interrupted time series design?
c) Pick the dependent variable of extroversion. Sketch a graph of the results described by the journalist. If you want to follow the style of the graphs in the textbook, you would put time on the x-axis and extroversion on the y-axis.
d) Now you can look at how the empirical study presented the results by looking at Figure 1 of the empirical article. The published graph probably looks different from yours (in c, above) in several ways. First, they don't show absolute levels of extroversion; instead, they graphed changes in extroversion--in 2020 and 2021, compared to a pre-panedemic baseline. Specifically, you will see a bar graph in which rates of each trait were either higher (positive bars) or lower (negative bars) than they were before the pandemic. You'll also see that they graphed these changes separately for different age groups. Study the bar graphs in Figure 1 and identify the traits and subgroups that had the largest changes.
e) Think about the external validity of this study. The sample came from the Understanding America Survey. Visit the survey's website and see if you can figure out if the sample used in the study was collected using probability sampling techniques or not (hint: use their "methodology" tab).